Open Forum Infectious Diseases
◐ Oxford University Press (OUP)
Preprints posted in the last 90 days, ranked by how well they match Open Forum Infectious Diseases's content profile, based on 142 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.11% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Tabackman, A.; Karoly, M.; Jacobson, K.; Horsburgh, C. R.; Linas, B.; Campbell, J.; Acuna-Villaorduna, C.; Sinha, P.
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Importance Tuberculosis preventive therapy is central to reducing tuberculosis, and foreign-born individuals account for most US tuberculosis cases. Current US Preventive Services Task Force guidance recommends testing and treating all foreign-born individuals regardless of age or time since immigration, yet the risks of disease progression and of treatment-related harm are not uniform across these groups. Objective To evaluate the cost-effectiveness and health outcomes of tuberculosis infection treatment strategies among immigrants from high-burden settings, stratified by age and time since immigration. Design Decision analytical model using individual-level microsimulation (Markov model) over a 30-year horizon, with deterministic and probabilistic (second-order Monte Carlo) sensitivity analyses. Costs and outcomes were discounted at 3%. Setting US federally funded tuberculosis clinic care (healthcare-sector perspective), using observed data from the Boston Medical Center/Boston Public Health Commission tuberculosis clinic and published literature. Participants A simulated cohort of 10000 IGRA-positive, foreign-born adults from high tuberculosis incidence settings (excluding immunosuppressed individuals), modeled as recent or remote (immigrated 25 years earlier) immigrants at ages 35 and 65 years. Interventions Rifampin daily for 4 months, isoniazid daily for 9 months, or no preventive therapy. Main Outcomes and Measures Costs, disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), incident tuberculosis cases and deaths, treatment completion, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs), with the proportion of simulations in which each strategy was optimal at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $50000 per DALY averted. Results Among recent immigrants, rifampin was the dominant strategy at ages 35 and 65 years (optimal in 88.5% and 93.9% of simulations), yielding the fewest tuberculosis cases (119.44 and 82.31 per 10 000) and the highest treatment completion (71.4% and 67.7%). Among remote immigrants, rifampin remained the dominant strategy (optimal in 53.41% of simulations), followed by no treatment. In older remote immigrants, no treatment was optimal in 94.7% of simulations. ICERs for treatment vs no treatment were unfavorable ($193 600 and $412 857 per DALY averted for rifampin and isoniazid, respectively, at age 65). Conclusions and Relevance In this decision analytical model, rifampin was cost-effective for recent immigrants, whereas no treatment was optimal for older remote immigrants. Age and time since immigration may help risk-stratify tuberculosis infection treatment and reduce unnecessary treatment in lower-risk populations.
Faghy, M. A.; Chynoweth, J.; Barnett, A.; Skipper, L.; Allgar, V.; Neilens, H.; Sands, K.-A.; Lord, A.; Hambly, H.; Aspinall, P.; Rollinson, C.; Strain, W.; Owen, R.; Thomas, C.; Grigg, M.; Kranen, S.; Mokbel, K.; Razak, H.; Ashton, R.; Maidment, I.; Bewick, T.
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Objective: Treatment of acute COVID-19 with anti-viral and immunomodulator medications demonstrates a reduced risk of long-term outcomes. To date, remdesivir, an intravenous (IV) antiviral that prevents RNA transcription, has not been evaluated in people with Long COVID (LC). This study assessed the feasibility of a five-day IV remdesivir intervention for individuals with LC. Methods: Seventy-three participants aged [≥]18 years with a confirmed LC diagnosis were recruited across two sites in the United Kingdom to receive a five-day course of IV remdesivir. Primary feasibility outcomes included recruitment, treatment completion, acceptability, and safety. Exploratory patient-reported (e.g. Fatigue Assessment Scale [FAS]) and clinical outcomes (e.g. 6-minute walk test [6MWT]) were also collected. Results: Of 106 individuals screened, 73 were enrolled and 71 (97%) completed the 5-day IV remdesivir regimen. Follow-up assessments were completed by 70 participants (96%), with high completion rates observed across clinical assessments, patient-reported outcomes and symptom tracking. No severe adverse reactions were reported. Improvements were also observed in several exploratory patient-reported and clinical outcomes. Conclusion: We demonstrated the feasibility and acceptability of administering IV remdesivir in people with LC. Analysis of secondary outcomes suggests therapeutic promise, but rigorous evaluation in large-scale randomised controlled trials is essential to determine the true efficacy and clinical utility of intravenous remdesivir in this population.
Mbelele, P. M.; Katengu, S.; Wettstone, E. G.; Pholwat, S.; Elwood, S.; Ahmed, T.; Guga, G. W.; Temu, M.; Habiye, F.; Kimathi, C.; Msoka, K.; Mosha, R.; Kwong, L. H.; Brouwer, A. F.; Eisenberg, J. N. S.; Rogawski McQuade, E. T.; Taniuchi, M.; Mduma, E.; Platts-Mills, J. A.
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Introduction: Enteric infections caused by Shigella and Campylobacter species are associated with acute diarrhea as well as enteric dysfunction leading to chronic malnutrition and poor child development. However, interventional studies to reduce exposure to these pathogens have been ineffective, and evidence that identifies putative sources and species transmission dynamics between humans, animals and the environment is scarce. Because isolation of these organisms from both human and environmental samples is challenging, studies using molecular detection may help reduce this substantial knowledge gap and lead to targeted interventions to reduce the burden of disease. Methods and analysis: This longitudinal cohort study will enroll 100 index infants as well as their families in Haydom, Tanzania. Families will be followed for one year, with collection of stool samples monthly and during incident diarrhea from all household members. Additionally, we will sample from the index child's environment, including domestic animal stools, drinking water, milk, porridge, flies, and soil. All samples will undergo nucleic acid extraction and quantitative PCR for Campylobacter and Shigella. Serial serologic tests will also be performed to identify seroconversion to these pathogens. Associations between pathogen detection from the environment and household members and detection in index children will be estimated, and the temporal patterning of infection cases will be analyzed using transmission models. Ethics and dissemination: This trial has been approved by the Tanzanian National Institute for Medical Research and the University of Virginia Institutional Review Board.
Ito, M.; Watanabe, F.; Osugi, A.; Aono, A.; Fujiwara, K.; Furuuchi, K.; Kodama, T.; Ohe, T.; Yoshiyama, T.; Kudoh, S.; Mitarai, S.; Morimoto, K.
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Objectives: To investigate whether ethambutol resistance in Mycobacterium avium complex is associated with the emergence of macrolide resistance. Methods: Patients who developed macrolide resistance during guideline-based treatment were included, and longitudinal analyses of minimum inhibitory concentrations and mutations in embB or the upstream region of embA were performed. Clinical, microbiological, and radiological characteristics were compared according to the mutation status of embB or embA upstream region, prior to the emergence of macrolide resistance. We further evaluated the impact of embB mutation on the development of macrolide resistance using in vitro time-kill assays. Results: Sixteen patients developed macrolide resistance during guideline-based treatment. None of these patients had an ethambutol minimum inhibitory concentration >=16 ug/mL or embB or embA upstream mutations at treatment initiation; however, 8/16 patients (50.0%) had an ethambutol minimum inhibitory concentration >=16 ug/mL at the time of macrolide resistance detection, and 7/16 (43.8%) had developed embB or embA upstream mutations prior to the emergence of macrolide resistance. Cavitary lesions were present in 1/7 (14.3%) patients with embB or embA upstream mutations. In strains with embB mutations, the minimum inhibitory concentration of ethambutol increased by 1-2 dilutions relative to that of pretreatment isolates, with a corresponding increase in the concentration required to suppress macrolide resistance. Conclusions: Ethambutol resistance may contribute to the development of macrolide resistance in patients with M. avium complex pulmonary disease, particularly in those without cavitary lesions.
Gupta, A.; van der Zalm, M. M.; Nguyet, M. H. T. N.; d'Elbee, M.; Dodd, P. J.; Palmer, M.; Larsson, L.; Razid, A.; Hesseling, A. C.; Dunbar, R.; Heinrich, N.; Zar, H. J.; Ntinginya, N.; Khosa, C.; Nliwasa, M.; Verghese, V. P.; Bonnet, M.; Wobudeya, E.; Nduna, B.; Moh, R.; Mwanga-Amumpere, J.; Mustapha, A.; Breton, G.; Taguebue, J.-V.; Borand, L.; Goussard, P.; Schaaf, H. S.; Morrison, J.; Marcy, O.; Seddon, J. A.; Chabala, C.; Olbrich, L.
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Background The World Health Organization (WHO) recommends 4-month treatment for children with non-severe pulmonary tuberculosis, outlining eligibility criteria for settings with and without chest X-ray (CXR). We evaluated the diagnostic accuracy of the WHO eligibility criteria in settings without CXR (WHO-criteria) and developed clinical scores to support disease classification. Methods Using data from an individual participant dataset (IPD; Decide TB) of children with confirmed/unconfirmed tuberculosis from four diagnostic studies (RaPaed-TB, Umoya, TB-Speed HIV, TB-Speed Decentralisation), we assessed the diagnostic accuracy of the WHO-criteria (with/without bacteriological testing) using expert CXR interpretation as a reference. We developed two multivariable logistic regression models with (Score 1) and without (Score 2) bacteriological testing, converted coefficients into integer scores with a threshold of >10 corresponding to a sensitivity [≥]70%. Results Of 2,383 children in the Decide TB-IPD, 633 (26.6%) met the eligibility criteria for a 4-month regimen, of whom 116 (18.3%) had radiologically severe disease. With and without bacteriological testing, the WHO-criteria had sensitivities of 30.1% (95%CI: 20.3%-40.2%) and 21.7% (95%CI: 10.4%-34.5%), and specificities of 83.4% (95%CI: 80.2%-86.4%) and 81.9% (95%CI: 78.8%-84.9%), respectively. Score 1 and Score 2 had sensitivities of 41.1% (95%CI: 32.4%-49.5%) and 30.9% (95%CI: 22.6%-40.4%), and specificities of 77.3% (95%CI: 73.6%-80.8%) and 83.0% (95%CI: 79.5%-86.3%) respectively. Using WHO-criteria, 91/116 (78.4%) and 105/116 (90.5%) of children were at risk of undertreatment, compared to 68/116 (58.6%) and 80/116 (68.9%) when using developed scores. Conclusions Developed scores demonstrated better sensitivity than WHO-criteria, however, performance remains suboptimal. Implementing shorter antituberculosis regimens without CXR remains challenging in children.
Price, A. M.; McLean, C.; Cleary, S.; Leis, A. M.; Vaughn, I. A.; House, S.; Ellsworth, S.; Moehling Geffel, K.; Taylor, L. H.; Gaglani, M.; Murthy, K.; Saade, E. A.; Ladikos, C.; Murugan, V.; Kramer, J. L.; Williamson, B. D.; Kiniry, E.; Walter, E. B.; Bontrager, N. A.; Ellington, S.; Flannery, B. M.; Chung, J.; US Flu VE Network Investigators,
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Background: Influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE) is assessed annually through prospective enrollment of patients presenting with acute respiratory symptoms in a test-negative study design. Influenza VE has also been estimated from electronic health record (EHR) databases by linking medical diagnoses, laboratory test results, and patient influenza vaccination. There are limited data on agreement between influenza VE estimates from prospective enrollment versus EHR databases. Methods: The US Influenza Vaccine Effectiveness Network prospectively enrolled outpatients meeting clinical screening criteria and collected respiratory specimens to determine influenza virus infection. Seven study sites also identified EHR databases that included diagnostic codes for outpatient encounters associated with medically attended acute respiratory illness (MAARI), clinical respiratory virus testing, and influenza vaccination status. Effectiveness of influenza vaccination against laboratory-confirmed influenza was estimated from both data sources using logistic regression models including patient age, study site, and month of illness as 100(%) x (1 - adjusted odds ratio), comparing influenza vaccination among laboratory-confirmed influenza-positive patients versus laboratory-confirmed influenza-negative patients. Results: From October 2024--April 2025, 2,016 (30%) of 6,793 prospectively enrolled patients and 75,885 (24%) of 282,444 EHR MAARI encounters had laboratory-confirmed influenza virus infection. Effectiveness of vaccination against laboratory-confirmed influenza was 36% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 26-44) among prospectively enrolled patients and 38% (95% CI: 36-39) among EHR MAARI encounters. Comparing influenza VE estimates from the two data sources, confidence intervals overlapped for all age groups except for adults aged [≥]65 years: -3% (95% CI: -53-30) among prospective enrollment versus 35% (95% CI: 32-39) VE from EHR MAARI encounters. Conclusion: Overall, influenza VE estimates from retrospective EHR data were similar to VE estimates using the test-negative design with prospective enrollment. The age group-specific differences in estimated VE observed in US adults aged [≥]65 years compared with younger age groups merit further investigation.
Chan-Colenbrander, S. Y.; Wang, Q.
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Seasonal influenza remains a major cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Although neuraminidase inhibitors improve outcomes, influenza-related deaths persist. We evaluated the impact of early aspirin (ASA) and non-aspirin nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug (NSAID) use on outcomes in adults hospitalized with influenza. This retrospective study included adults admitted to the University of Minnesota Medical Center from 2016 to 2018. Continuous variables were summarized as medians with interquartile ranges (IQRs) and categorical variables as counts and percentages. Group comparisons used Wilcoxon rank-sum, Chi-square, or Fishers exact tests. Analyses included case-control comparisons, assessments by vaccination status, and subgroup analyses by early ASA or NSAID use. Among 2,816 patients, 320 had laboratory-confirmed influenza, with vaccination less common among cases. Unvaccinated patients had higher rates of intensive care unit (ICU) admission (23.6% vs. 11.1%; P = 0.003) and ventilatory support (15.0% vs. 6.1%; P = 0.009). In vaccinated patients, early ASA use was associated with older age and higher in-hospital mortality, whereas early NSAID use was associated with no in-hospital deaths, better one- and three-year survival (P < 0.001), and fewer, though not statistically significant, cardiovascular complications. In unvaccinated patients, ASA use was associated with lower three-year survival (59.1% vs. 79.2%; P = 0.013), while NSAID use was associated with fewer ICU admissions and no cardiovascular or renal complications. In both vaccinated and unvaccinated adults hospitalized with influenza, early NSAID use was associated with improved survival and fewer complications, whereas ASA use was associated with worse outcomes.
Jakobsson, F. F.; Eriksson, M.; Kalucza, S. F.; Fors Connolly, A.-M.
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Background: Patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) may have an increased risk of severe COVID-19. Tenofovir has been hypothesized to confer protection against severe disease, but evidence is inconclusive. We evaluated the risk of severe COVID-19 among CHB patients treated with tenofovir compared with other nucleos(t)ide analogues (NAs). Methods and findings: In this nationwide, registry-based cohort study, we included all adults with CHB and laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 in Sweden between February 2020 and July 2022. Data from national health and socioeconomic registers were linked using unique personal identification numbers (PINs). Patients with HIV, hepatitis C, or hepatitis D coinfection were excluded. Exposure was defined as tenofovir versus other NA therapy. The primary outcome was severe COVID-19, defined as hospitalization >2 days or death within 30 days of diagnosis. Logistic regression was used to estimate adjusted odds ratios (aOR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI), controlling for age, sex, comorbidities, vaccination, socioeconomic status, and region of birth. Among 5,877 CHB patients with COVID-19, 672 were receiving NA therapy (437 tenofovir, 235 other NAs). Severe COVID-19 occurred in 8.0% of tenofovir-treated patients and 14.5% of those receiving other NAs (unadjusted OR 0.52; 95% CI, 0.31-0.85). After adjustment, the association was attenuated and no longer significant (aOR 0.72; 95% CI, 0.39-1.31). Older age, comorbidities, and unvaccinated status were strongly associated with severe disease. Conclusions: The apparent protective effect of tenofovir against severe COVID-19 in unadjusted analyses was largely explained by confounding factors. The risk of severe disease was primarily driven by age, comorbidities, and vaccination status. Prevention of severe COVID-19 in patients with CHB should instead focus on vaccination and management of comorbidities.
Pisanic, N.; Kurowski, K. M.; Carter, T.; Salmeron, B.; Spicer, K.; Krucynski, K. L.; Gigot, C. M.; Schmidt, L.; Aubourg, M. A.; Hall, D. J.; Hall, D. J.; Mitchell, L.; Johnson, L.; George, M.; Rule, A. M.; Moss, W. J.; Davis, M. F.; Pekosz, A.; Gronvall, G. K.; Heaney, C. D.
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Background. Direct livestock exposure is a risk factor for zoonotic influenza, including H5N1 highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) A virus. But whether living in regions of high poultry and swine production intensity (PPI, SPI) increases risk of exposure to zoonotic influenza viruses independent of occupational livestock contact remains unclear. Objectives. To determine whether livestock workers and community members with no occupational livestock exposure in North Carolina, where poultry and swine production are increasingly co-located, are at higher risk of exposure to zoonotic influenza. Methods. Saliva samples from industrial livestock operation worker (ILO-W), ILO neighbor (ILO-N) and metropolitan area (Metro) households were analyzed for mucosal influenza A (H5N1, H1N1, and H3N2) hemagglutinin (HA) IgA and IgG antibodies to determine associations of PPI, SPI, exposure group, and detection of a swine-specific fecal contamination marker (Pig-2-Bac DNA) with influenza A antibody levels. Results. Residing in the highest PPI and SPI tertile was associated with significantly higher mucosal H5 and H1 HA IgA levels, including among residents without occupational livestock exposure. Households with occupational poultry or swine contact had significantly higher H5 IgA and IgG and H1 IgA levels compared to Metro households. In regression models accounting for clustering at the participant level, log10 anti-H5 HA mucosal IgA increased 0.16 (95% CI: 0.06, 0.27, p<0.005) and 0.10 (95% CI: 0.03, 0.17, p<0.005), per log10 increase in PPI and SPI, respectively, and 0.16 (95% CI: 0.03, 0.19, p<0.02) when Pig-2-Bac DNA was detected on household surfaces. Conclusions. Mucosal H5 HA IgA and IgG and H1 HA IgA were consistently elevated across different metrics of livestock exposure intensity, including residential exposure, occupational contact within a household, and a molecular marker of household swine fecal contamination in a state with intensive poultry and swine production.
Gong, D.; Flasche, S.; Hodgson, D.
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Clesrovimab and nirsevimab are long-acting monoclonal antibodies used to prevent respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) disease in infants, but waning protection in the first year of life is incompletely characterised. We applied a published Bayesian inference framework to clesrovimab and pooled nirsevimab trial data to estimate time-varying efficacy against medically attended RSV lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI) and RSV-associated hospitalisation, accounting for differences in placebo-arm event timing between trials. Estimated clesrovimab efficacy declined from 60.7% (95% CrI: 46.3-72.6) shortly after dosing to 38.3% (8.6-52.9) at six months against medically attended RSV LRTI, and from 87.1% (71.2-96.2) to 49.6% (10.4-70.7) against RSV-associated hospitalisation. For nirsevimab, corresponding estimates declined from 86.9% (75.4-95.0) to 53.8% (27.4-69.7) against LRTI, and from 77.5% (52.6-91.8) to 49.7% (15.7-68.3) against hospitalisation. After accounting for differences in RSV exposure timing and LRTI endpoint definitions between trials, we found no evidence of a difference in efficacy or waning between clesrovimab and nirsevimab.
Naidu, L.; Tlhaku, K.; Govender, K.; Sookrajh, Y.; Moodley, P.; van der Molen, J.; Samsunder, N.; Lewis, L.; Gandhi, M.; Drain, P. K.; Butler, C. C.; Hayward, G.; Garrett, N.; Dorward, J.
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Background Urine tenofovir (uTFV) and dried blood spot (DBS) tenofovir diphosphate (TFV-DP) concentrations respectively estimate short- and medium-term adherence to tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF)-based antiretroviral therapy (ART). We evaluated the accuracy of a point-of-care uTFV assay, and associations between uTFV/TFV-DP, and viral load (VL) and retention outcomes within a South African community ART programme. Methods We measured uTFV and DBS TFV-DP concentrations using liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry (LC-MS/MS). We calculated sensitivity and specificity of the point-of-care uTFV assay at the manufacturer-recommended threshold of [≥]1,500 ng/mL compared to LC-MS/MS. We assessed associations of the point-of-care uTFV assay, and DBS TFV-DP concentrations with concurrent viraemia, and with retention-in-care by 16 weeks post-enrolment. Results Of 196 adults median age was 44 years, 127 (64.8%) were female, and 191 (97.4%) were receiving TDF. 185 (94.4%) had detectable point-of-care uTFV, which had high sensitivity (99.5%, 95% CI 96.5-100%) and moderate specificity (76.9%, 95% CI 46.0-93.8%) for detecting uTFV [≥]1,500 ng/mL. Two participants had concurrent viraemia [≥]1,000 copies/mL; of these 50.0% (95% CI 9.4-90.5) had undetectable point-of-care uTFV, and 100% (95% CI 19.7-100) had low TFV-DP <483 fmol/punch. Among participants without viraemia 97.4% (95% CI 93.6-99.0) had detectable uTFV, and 98.1% (95.3-99.6) had high TFV-DP [≥]483 fmol/punch. Point-of-care uTFV and DBS TFV-DP were not associated with retention-in-care. Conclusions The point-of-care uTFV assay demonstrated high sensitivity and moderate specificity to detect uTFV. Over 95% of people without viraemia had detectable point-of-care uTFV or high DBS TFV-DP levels respectively, but these were not associated with 16-week retention-in-care.
Tartof, S. Y.; Zasowski, E. J.; Aliabadi, N.; Goodwin, G.; Slezak, J.; Hong, V.; Frankland, T. B.; Ackerson, B.; Liu, Q.; Shaw, S.; Welsh, S.; Kapadia, B.; Spence, B. C.; Davis, G. S.; Lewnard, J. A.; Chowdhry, H.; Dutro, M.; Chilson, E.; Cane, A.; Hayford, K.; Begier, E.
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Introduction: RSV vaccines reduce the risk of severe outcomes such as hospitalization and emergency department (ED) visits for at least 2 RSV seasons following vaccination. No data have been published on real-world RSV vaccine effectiveness (VE) beyond the second season after vaccination. This study evaluates bivalent RSVpreF VE against RSV-related lower respiratory tract disease (LRTD) hospitalizations/ED visits throughout 3 seasons after vaccination. Methods: This retrospective test-negative case-control evaluates bivalent RSVpreF VE among adults aged >/= 60 years at Kaiser Permanente Southern California with LRTD over 3 RSV seasons (11/24/20230-4/18/2026). Cases were RSV-positive without coinfection. Controls were negative for RSV, hMPV, influenza, SARS-CoV-2, and positive for a non-vaccine preventable disease pathogen. Exposure was bivalent RSVpreF (Abrysvo) receipt >/= 21 days before LRTD. Adjusted VE was estimated using odds ratios from multivariable logistic regression or generalized estimating equations. Results: Overall, adjusted VE against RSV-related LRTD hospitalization/ED visits was 80% (95% CI:68-87), 70% (95% CI:53-81), and 51% (95% CI:-12-78) in the first, second, and third season after vaccination, respectively. Among non-immunocompromised individuals, adjusted VE against RSV-related LRTD was 87% (95% CI:75-94), 76% (95% CI:55-87), and 58% (95% CI:-21-86) in the first, second, and third season after vaccination, respectively. Adjusted VE across the 3 combined seasons was 73% (95% CI: 64-80) overall and 80% (95% CI: 69-87) among non-immunocompromised individuals. Conclusion: These results suggest Bivalent RSVpreF provides protection against RSV-related LRTD outcomes for at least three seasons after vaccination in this population of older adults with a prevalence of comorbidities. This suggests RSV vaccination results in substantial individual and public health benefit.
Peter, R. S.; Sedelmaier, L.; Nieters, A.; Schilling, C.; Matits, L.; Goepel, S.; Merle, U.; Steinacker, J. M.; Kern, W. V.
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Purpose Because simple symptom counts treat all symptoms as equally important and may not adequately capture the HRQoL impact of heterogeneous post-COVID-19 symptoms, we aimed to develop an HRQoL-anchored symptom severity score providing an interpretable measure of post-COVID-19 disease burden. Methods Baseline data from the population-based EPILOC and EPILOC Omicron surveys (adults aged 18-65 years) were used to develop a symptom-based severity score anchored to physical and mental HRQoL assessed with the SF-12. A two-stage modelling approach was applied to identify HRQoL-relevant symptoms and to derive symptom-specific weights for physical and mental component scores, incorporating 30 ordinal symptom severity variables. Symptom-specific weights were extracted to compute physical, mental, and composite severity scores. Score interpretation was examined using external reference measures, including EPILOC case status, self-reported health recovery, and functional consequences. Results A total of 19,004 participants (mean age 44.3 years, 59.6% female) were included. Sixteen symptoms contributed to the physical and eleven to the mental HRQoL score, with a limited subset accounting for most of the HRQoL loss. Severity scores were heavily right-skewed, with 50.6% of participants showing no measurable HRQoL impairment. Higher scores correlated with lower self-reported recovery, and increased probability of rehabilitation use and health-related changes in working time, supporting convergent and criterion-related validity. Conclusions This study introduces a transparent, HRQoL-anchored symptom severity score that measures graded post-COVID-19 burden beyond simple symptom counts. The score may be particularly suited for longitudinal assessment of recovery trajectories.
Butfield, R.; Rai, K. K.; Jennison, T.; Said, J.; Wright, H.; Sethi, D.; Watkins, J.; Geneidat, A.; Jimenez, I.; Wiseman, D.
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Introduction: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) causes significant disease in older and comorbid adults. Current UK vaccination recommendations restrict eligibility to adults [≥]75-years, 65-74-years with chronic respiratory disease or immunosuppression, and those in care homes, but evidence on clinical burden in adults <75-years with comorbidities is limited. This study assessed patient characteristics, healthcare resource utilisation (HCRU), and mortality in adults hospitalised with RSV in England. Methods: Population-based retrospective cohort study using linked Clinical Practice Research Datalink Aurum and Hospital Episode Statistics. Adults [≥]60-years hospitalised with RSV between October 2014-March 2019 were included. RSV episodes defined as 90-days post diagnosis. Case definitions were created using diagnosis codes related to confirmed RSV (RSV-specific) or acute lower respiratory tract infection where other causative pathogens were excluded (RSV-possible). All-cause HCRU (hospitalisations, critical care admissions, outpatient attendance, primary care consultations, and prescriptions) and case fatality rates were assessed. Results were stratified by age (60-74 and [≥]75-years), case definitions (RSV-specific, RSV-possible) and comorbidity profiles (chronic respiratory disease, immunocompromised, cardiovascular disease). Results: A total of 97,712 hospitalised episodes in those aged [≥]60-years were included in the analysis, where 785 (0.8%) were RSV-specific cases (n=338 aged 60-74-years, n=447 aged [≥]75-years). In RSV-specific cases, median (IQR) cumulative length of stay (LoS) for those [≥]75-years was 10.00 (6.00-22.00) days which was equivalent to or lower than each comorbidity sub-group in those aged 60-74-years, with longest LoS in those immunocompromised (11.50 [7.00-26.00] days). Critical care admissions were more often observed across comorbidity stratifications (13.85%-22.34%) compared to those [≥]75-years (5.03%). All-cause and RSV-related case fatality rates for RSV-specific cases were highest among those [≥]75-years (all-cause: 19.3%; RSV-related: 10.3%). Conclusion: HCRU within RSV episodes in those aged 60-74-years across comorbidity profiles was equal to or greater compared to those aged [≥]75-years. These findings highlight the need to prioritise consideration of comorbidity groups that could benefit from RSV vaccination. Key words: Respiratory syncytial virus; vaccine; chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; diabetes mellitus; immunocompromised; asthma; chronic kidney disease; cardiovascular disease; healthcare resource utilisation.
David, A.; Scott, L. E.; Singh, L.; Marokane, P.; da Silva, M. P.; Gast, D.; Noble, L.; Waja, Z.; Moloantoa, T.; Martinson, N.; Stevens, W.
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Background: Access to accurate tuberculosis (TB) diagnostics remains limited, particularly in high-burden settings. The Pluslife MTB assay is among the first molecular tests specifically designed for swab-based detection of Mycobacterium tuberculosis complex (MTBC) and offers near point-of-care use. Methods: We conducted a prospective diagnostic accuracy study in South Africa to evaluate the performance of the Pluslife assay on tongue swabs (TSs) and sputum swabs (SSs) among symptomatic and asymptomatic adults. Results were compared against liquid culture as the reference standard and Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra (Xpert Ultra) as a comparator. Operational characteristics and ease-of-use were assessed through structured observation and Likert-scale scoring by testing personnel. Results: Of 256 participants enrolled, 92 [36%] were people with HIV (PHIV) and 217 were included in the final analysis. Culture confirmed TB in 41/217 (19%). The Pluslife assay demonstrated sensitivity of 85% (95% CI: 70.8-94.4) on SSs, comparable to Xpert Ultra on sputum (83%, 95% CI: 67.9-92.8), and detected one additional case missed by Xpert Ultra. Sensitivity on TSs was lower (63%, 95% CI: 46.9-77.9), particularly among PHIV. Specificity exceeded 97% across specimen types. Concordance on TSs between Pluslife and Xpert Ultra increased with higher bacterial loads. Operational evaluation showed short hands-on time and high ease-of-use scores, though limitations were noted for patient identifier recording and troubleshooting on the Pluslife MiniDock device. Conclusions: The Pluslife MTB assay on SSs shows comparable performance to existing rapid diagnostics and favorable usability. Tongue swabs remain feasible but less reliable, supporting sputum as the preferred first specimen for TB diagnosis.
Pradana, A. R.; Ashcroft, M. M.; Watthanasiri, P.; Mercaldo, R. A.; Kawatsu, L.; Morino, E.; Ung, S.; Yek, C.; Matsumoto-Takahashi, E.; Goh, F.; Khemnak, K.; Wongsanuphat, S.; Thammawijaya, P.; Tipkrua, N.; Pomchiangpin, S.; Cheng, S.; Morimoto, K.; Mahasirimongkol, S.; Prevots, D. R.; Thomson, R. M.
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BACKGROUND: Nontuberculous mycobacteria (NTM) are environmental organisms increasingly causing chronic respiratory infection. Although NTM pulmonary infection is rising globally, most studies are single-country. This study evaluated temporal trends in pulmonary NTM incidence across Queensland (Australia), Phnom Penh (Cambodia), Japan, Thailand, and the United States (US), and described regional species distribution. METHODS: Laboratory and insurance claims data were used. Incident infections were defined using region-specific criteria. For Queensland, Japan, and Thailand, data and denominators covered entire regions. US estimates included Medicare beneficiaries aged [≥]65 years, and Cambodian incidence was estimated from Phnom Penh data and standardised nationally. Incidence rates per 100,000 population and incidence rate ratios (IRRs) were calculated overall and by sex. Age-stratified analyses and species distributions were summarised where data were available. RESULTS: Pulmonary NTM incidence increased in all regions and was highest in Japan (47.20-57.40 per 100,000) and lowest in Phnom Penh (0.23-0.38). Queensland showed the largest increase over 24 years (IRR 7.06, p<0.0001). Female predominance occurred in high-income regions, whereas Thailand showed ~1.5-fold male predominance and Phnom Penh showed no sex predominance. Incidence was higher among individuals aged [≥]60 years. Mycobacterium avium complex predominated in Japan and Queensland, and M. abscessus in Thailand and Phnom Penh. CONCLUSIONS: Pulmonary NTM incidence increased in all regions, varying by demographic patterns and species distribution. Differences largely reflect under-ascertainment related to diagnostic capacity and tuberculosis-focused health systems rather than true infection burden. Strengthened surveillance and diagnostic capacity are needed to define the global burden of NTM pulmonary infection.
Chifu, N. B.; Etiendem, A.; Tcheumeni, D. K.; Neh, A.; Mbuh, N. N.; Fonyuy, G.; Nsame, D.; Ndi, N. N.; Wandji, I. A. G.; Fundoh, M.; Mbuli, C.; Biatu, N.; Vuchas, C.; Garg, T.; Creswell, J.; Sander, M.; RAPID TB Team,
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Background: Pooled testing increases testing efficiency and reduces testing costs. This approach has been recently recommended by the World Health Organization for use with low-complexity nucleic acid amplification TB diagnostics to increase access to testing when resources are constrained. Pooled testing can also be used with novel near point of care tests, and evidence is needed on diagnostic performance of pooled testing in these more portable, lower cost tests. Methods: We evaluated pooled testing on the Pluslife MiniDock MTB assay with stored sputum collected from adults with presumptive TB. We assessed sensitivity and specificity against the reference standard of liquid culture and diagnostic agreement against Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra and individual MiniDock MTB; we also estimated pooled testing efficiency. Results: Swabs from sputum specimens were tested in 287 pools of 3 and on 861 individual tests. Against culture, sensitivity of testing was 88% (87/99, 95%CI, 80-93%) as compared to 89% (88/99, 95%CI, 81-94%) for individual MiniDock MTB testing, with pooled testing specificity of 99% (97-99%) as compared to 95% (94-97%) for individual testing. Pooled testing saved 32% of tests in this population that included 12% (100) people with culture-positive TB. Conclusions: Pooled testing with sputum swabs from three people had similar diagnostic accuracy against TB culture as individual sputum swab testing in this evaluation. These results provide evidence that pooled testing with near point of care tests could help to further reduce testing costs and help to expand access to molecular testing at the lowest levels of the health system.
Jones, L.; Ergas, R.; Tibbs, A.; Russo, E. T.; Norville, J.; Bingay, B.; Brown, C. M.; Reich, N. G.; Pasco, R.
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Background Pediatric immunizations for Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV), including monoclonal antibodies for infants and vaccines for pregnant people, have become broadly available and can prevent severe RSV outcomes in infants. However, quantifying the impact of RSV immunization in prevention of severe pediatric illness at the population-level is limited by lack of RSV case surveillance data. The Massachusetts Department of Public Health (DPH) conducted a modeling analysis using routine public health surveillance data to estimate the state-level impact of new RSV immunization products on Emergency Department (ED) visits and hospitalizations in Massachusetts for highest risk pediatric groups. Methods A scenario projection tool, called R.Scenario.Vax, was utilized to simulate RSV-associated ED hospital encounters by age group in the context of newly available immunizations. ED visit and hospitalization data from the National Syndromic Surveillance Program (NSSP) during the time period 10/08/2017--10/19/2024 were analyzed, scaled to account for changes in RSV testing practices over time and missing encounter volume in historic data, and utilized to inform model fit of a "typical" RSV season. RSV immunization data from the Massachusetts Immunization Information System (MIIS) for the 2023--2024 and 2024--2025 RSV seasons informed high and moderate pediatric RSV immunization coverage scenarios and their impact was compared to a counterfactual reference scenario of no new immunizations. Median projections were quantitatively and qualitatively compared to observed 2024--2025 season data. Percent reduction in hospital encounters and encounters averted per 10,000 population were calculated for each scenario as compared to the reference. Results Projections for the youngest at-risk age groups showed significantly lower RSV-associated ED visits and hospitalizations during the 2024--2025 season for both high and moderate immunization coverage scenarios. Median projections for infants under 6 months old in the highest coverage scenario, wherein nearly all infants were immunized, showed 72.6% lower ED visits and 73.4% lower hospitalizations when compared to the reference scenario, equating to 262 ED visits and 85 hospitalizations averted per 10,000 population. Conclusions Our results support the use of modeling methods for public health insights and suggest that RSV immunizations for infant populations result in significantly lower RSV-related ED encounters in Massachusetts.
McCarthy, P. K.; Osei, N. A. B.; Ansah, D. F. O.; Mensah, J.; Denkyira, S. A.; Brobbey, F. S.; Ohene, G. N. A.; Yiadom, B. B.; Kyei, G. B.
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Objectives To evaluate two-year, side-by-side outcomes of a prospective audit and feedback (PAF)-based antimicrobial stewardship program (ASP) in a quaternary ICU in Ghana, comparing diagnostic stewardship, antimicrobial prescribing patterns, and clinician adherence to stewardship recommendations between 2024 and 2025. Longitudinal PAF data from low- and middle-income countries (LMIC) quaternary ICUs are scarce; this study addresses that evidence gap. Methods A retrospective comparative analysis of routine Antimicrobial Stewardship (AMS) surveillance data was conducted at the University of Ghana Medical Centre ICU: 102 visits in 2024 and 63 in 2025. Proportions were compared by chi-square or Fishers exact test; continuous variables by Mann-Whitney U. Wilson score 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were computed for primary proportions. Results Biomarker-guided prescribing rose from 86.3% to 100% of visits (p=0.005) and culture and sensitivity testing from 74.5% to 90.5% (p=0.02). Targeted (culture-guided) therapy increased significantly from 23.5% to 41.7% of antibiotic recipients (p=0.03), while empiric prescribing declined correspondingly. Overall antibiotic utilization remained high in both years (96.1% vs 95.2%; p=1.00), and meropenem use rose from 42.9% to 56.7% (p=0.13). AMS interventions were recommended in 67.6% and 63.5% of visits, respectively. Clinician acceptance improved markedly from 40.6% (95% CI: 29.8-52.4%) to 67.5% (95% CI: 52.0-79.9%) (p=0.01). Conclusions Two years of PAF in a Ghanaian quaternary ICU demonstrated progressive program maturation: universal biomarker adoption, a significant shift toward targeted prescribing, and markedly enhanced clinician acceptance. Persistently high antibiotic utilization and rising carbapenem dependence underscore the need for sustained surveillance and carbapenem-sparing strategies in LMIC critical care.
Zhou, N. A.; Hemlock, C.; Jesser, K. J.; Fagnant-Sperati, C. S.; Contreras, J. D.; Arnold, B. F.; Cevallos, W.; Trueba, G.; Lee, G. O.; Eisenberg, J. N. S.; Levy, K.
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Enteric pathogen infections are a major global health challenge, influenced by a variety of host and environmental factors, and their clinical presentation and treatment can be complicated by the presence of co-infections. The prevalence of enteric infections and co-infections tend to vary between rural and urban contexts, likely driven by underlying environmental, geographic, and demographic characteristics. To improve understanding of urbanicity and age on enteric pathogen prevalence and on co-infection risk, we measured 22 enteric pathogens in fecal samples collected from children aged 6, 12, and 18 months across a rural-urban gradient within the ECoMiD birth cohort study (n=473). Enteric pathogen burden was high and increased with age, with at least one pathogen detected in 91% of children at 6 months, 97% at 12 months, and 98% at 18 months. However, prevalence of some pathogens-- notably Salmonella enterica, enterovirus, and rotavirus-- decreased with age. Co-infections were also common (88%), and children were infected with as many as 11 pathogens simultaneously. The most frequently observed co-infection profiles included enteroaggregative E. coli and atypical enteropathogenic E. coli, followed by combinations with diffusely adherent E. coli, enterovirus, enterotoxigenic E. coli, and/or adenovirus. Enteric pathogen detection generally was higher in more rural settings, though patterns varied by pathogen. These results provide useful information for future examination of pathogen dynamics of co-occurrence. Given the ubiquity of enteric infections in high transmission settings, strategies that aim to reduce overall microbial exposure may be needed to supplement interventions targeting control of individual pathogens.